WhatsGoingOn

Helping WallStreetBettors lose money even faster

Last updated Friday, September 13, at 11:27 PST

VTLEBullishLink
Posted 1 hours and 8 minutes ago

Summary: The author presents a bullish thesis on VTLE, highlighting its strong earnings-to-stock price ratio and low production costs in the Permian Basin. They note that 45% of VTLE's oil has a breakeven price below $50/barrel, and the company has hedged 15M barrels at $75/barrel through 2025. The author also points out that VTLE trades below 40% of its tangible book value, suggesting potential for acquisition. The market cap is $1B, with significant earnings in 2022 and 2023. Despite a 63% debt-to-equity ratio, the author believes the

Position: None

ARRYBullishLink
Posted 3 hours and 25 minutes ago

Summary: The analysis suggests that rate cuts, both domestically and internationally, will significantly benefit the solar sector, particularly utility-scale solar companies. The sector is already experiencing a turnaround as companies adjust to Nem 3. Many solar stocks have been undervalued, trading at multi-year lows and less than 1x sales, despite generating substantial net income. ARRY is highlighted as an example, outperforming Enphase in terms of net income, yet trading at a much lower multiple. The author expects a multi-year rally for profitable solar companies.

Position: The author recommends focusing investments on utility-scale solar stocks, specifically mentioning ARRY, NXT, and

RIVNNeutralLink
Posted 3 hours and 56 minutes ago

Summary: The post highlights both the potential and the challenges facing Rivian. On the positive side, Rivian has strong backing from Amazon, with a significant order for 100,000 electric delivery vans, and potential collaborations with major players like Volkswagen. Their focus on electric trucks and SUVs positions them uniquely in the market, which is currently dominated by Tesla's sedans. However, the company has faced production delays and supply chain issues, raising concerns about their ability to scale. The competitive landscape is also intense, with established automakers like Tesla, GM, and Ford aggressively entering the electric truck/SUV segment. The success of the Tesla Cybertruck could further impact

Position: None

SPYNeutral to BearishLink
Posted 8 hours and 2 minutes ago

Summary: The author anticipates the market to trend sideways or slightly down next week, with the SPY expected to stay around 553-563, ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting. There is a mention of index divergence, highlighting that QQQ has experienced sharper drops and is lagging behind SPY and DIA. The author believes a 25bp rate cut is the most likely outcome and would be favorable, whereas a 50bp cut might signal economic issues. The worst-case scenario would be no rate cut, although this is deemed unlikely. The recommendation is to take profits if positions were bought at the lows and to wait for the Fed's announcement

Position: None

BABearishLink
Posted 8 hours and 15 minutes ago

Summary: The post discusses the negative implications of the ongoing work strike at Boeing, which is expected to last another 1-2 months and significantly drain cash flow, likely by at least $3 billion. Boeing is already struggling with negative cash flow, and additional financial strain will delay their timeline to achieve positive cash flow. The upcoming quarterly report is expected to be problematic for shareholders, with issues such as additional red tape in production processes causing further delays and cost increases. This will likely result in widened losses and worsening cash flow, potentially driving the stock price below $100.

Position: Small bet in the 120 strike put option

LUNRBullishLink
Posted 15 hours and 6 minutes ago

Summary: The article discusses a significant surge in options activity for Intuitive Machines (LUNR), suggesting that this unusual trading pattern may indicate that traders have access to privileged information. The spike in options trading has caught the attention of market analysts who are speculating that it could be linked to upcoming positive news or developments within the company. As options are often used to leverage significant price movements, the increased activity is interpreted as a bullish signal by the market. Analysts advise keeping a close watch on LUNR for any announcements or changes that could justify this options activity.

Position: The position implied by the article is bullish, as the increase in options activity

NVIDIABullishLink
Posted 15 hours and 34 minutes ago

Summary: The post discusses a significant advancement in AI technology with the release of GPT-01, emphasizing a new paradigm where model accuracy increases linearly with log compute. This breakthrough implies that the primary limitation to AI performance is computational power. Given this shift, there is an anticipated surge in demand for compute resources. NVIDIA, with its strong positioning in the GPU market, is expected to benefit greatly as companies invest in maximizing compute capabilities. The analysis suggests that every company will want their employees to utilize these advanced models, driving substantial investment into NVIDIA's products.

Position: The author suggests buying NVIDIA stock.

WFCBearishLink
Posted 18 hours and 6 minutes ago

Summary: The post discusses a problematic credit card program between Wells Fargo and Bilt, where Wells Fargo is losing billions due to high reward rates and no sign-up fees. The expectation was that profits would come from account holders carrying balances, but this has not happened. Trapped in a seven-year contract, Wells Fargo faces potential financial harm if more people exploit the high rewards without carrying balances. This situation could negatively impact Wells Fargo's share price, especially if a large number of people use a short position to finance their expenses through this credit card.

Position: The poster suggests taking a short position on Wells Fargo (WFC) to capitalize on the potential decline

MSTRBullishLink
Posted 21 hours and 58 minutes ago

Summary: The poster is considering selling their TESLA shares and buying MSTR with a long-term hold of at least 18 months. They believe that the value of BTC will increase over this period and see significant growth potential in MSTR as a result. The poster is seeking opinions on whether TESLA also has room for gains in the next 18 months, but they feel that MSTR might offer better returns within this timeframe.

Position: Considering selling TESLA shares to buy MSTR for a long-term hold of at least 18 months.

KVYOBullishLink
Posted 23 hours and 19 minutes ago

Summary: The post provides an in-depth analysis of Klaviyo (KVYO), emphasizing its role as a marketing automation platform designed for eCommerce businesses. The leadership team is highlighted, including CEO Andrew Bialecki and CFO Amanda Whalen, who bring significant industry experience. Financially, Klaviyo shows strong year-over-year revenue growth of 35%, a solid gross margin of 77%, and a healthy cash position with a current asset to liability ratio of 8:1. The company has expanded its SMS offering to 12 countries and secured new partnerships and customer deals. Analysts have set price targets ranging from 32 to 40. The author

Position: None

SP500BearishLink
Posted 1 days, 1 hours, and 12 minutes ago

Summary: Henrik Zeberg anticipates a significant decline in the S&P500 over the coming years. He predicts a short-term surge to 6100-6300 followed by a sharp downturn, a deep recession, and extensive QE by the Fed, which will temporarily boost the economy and markets. However, subsequent inflation will cause a prolonged market slide, with the S&P500 bottoming out at around 1800. The analysis supports this outlook, noting that the stock market is overvalued due to multiple expansion and unrealizable phantom wealth, akin to an insolvent bank issuing false interest payments.

Position: The author agrees with Zeberg's bearish outlook

MUBullishLink
Posted 1 days, 1 hours, and 42 minutes ago

Summary: The author points out that Micron's stock has dropped significantly from its highs despite decent earnings results. They highlight that the company's 1-year forward P/E ratio is currently very low, indicating potential undervaluation. The bear case includes concerns about heavy investment in production capacity and lower profit margins (~11%) in the last quarter, which are traditionally around 40%. However, the author argues that these lower margins can be explained by strategic investments to meet demand. They seem optimistic about Micron's future performance prior to the September 27th earnings report.

Position: The author has a small position (approximately 200 stocks, currently down 30%)

INTCBearishLink
Posted 1 days, 10 hours, and 15 minutes ago

Summary: The author initially contemplated going long on Intel, considering that the stock had already dropped over 30% and bad news might be priced in. However, after further analysis, they believe Intel's troubles are not over. They highlight Intel's struggles in the mobile and AI markets, fierce competition in the PC processor space, ongoing cash burn, and production bottlenecks with Meteor Lake. Additionally, the export ban to China presents another revenue challenge. The author compares Intel to Boeing, suggesting it's too big to fail but too slow for a quick turnaround. They anticipate a few more difficult quarters ahead for Intel.

Position: Long Intel Put options

CELHBullishLink
Posted 1 days, 14 hours, and 40 minutes ago

Summary: The analysis suggests that CELH has the potential for significant upside, with EPS projected to reach $1.8/share by 2028 given annual revenue growth of 15-20%, gross margin expansion to 53.5%, and operating leverage. This could lead to a stock price of $50-55 by the end of 2027, representing a 65% upside. However, the short-term outlook may be challenging due to potential gross margin pressure. The author seeks insights on the company's ability to sustain revenue growth beyond mid-teen levels post-2024.

Position: The author has a partial position purchased at $41 and plans

NVDANeutralLink
Posted 1 days, 15 hours, and 14 minutes ago

Summary: The user reflects on their experiences with trading options and emphasizes the importance of securing small, consistent gains rather than attempting to perfectly time the market. They mention that while they have occasionally made significant profits, more often than not, they have incurred losses by holding onto options too long. The sentiment includes a regretful tone about selling NVDA calls too early, indicating a missed opportunity for higher profits, but they also acknowledge the risk of potential losses had they held on longer.

Position: Regret over selling NVDA calls too early

NVIDIABullishLink
Posted 2 days, 4 hours, and 24 minutes ago

Summary: The post enthusiastically highlights the user's personal investment in Nvidia February call options, differentiating it from investments made by their dad or uncle. The use of the "😈" emoji suggests a confident and daring outlook on the investment. The image linked likely showcases the specific details of the call options, such as the strike price and expiration date, though these specifics are not provided in the text.

Position: The user has invested in Nvidia February call options, amounting to 5,000 units.